Vocational Education
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Why
Australia faces significant shortages of skilled workers in critical industries.
The top three to tackle first ...
Building
Australia needs 90,000 additional building workers to meet Federal Government election promises of 1.3m houses over 5 years.
Australia needs 93,000 more construction project workers to meet ambitious capital works targets in civil and renewable energy projects including:
19,000 project management professionals,
70,000 engineers, scientists and architects,
16,000 structural and civil trades and labour and
14,000 finishing trades
Master Builders Association says 486,000 new workers are needed by 2026 to meet current demand.
NCVER has 212,000 registered apprentices with an 18% completion rate.
Nursing
There are 273,000 trained nurses in Australia and 24,820 unfilled positions
Workforce planning projections calculate a shortfall of:
85,000 nurses by 2025, and
123,000 nurses by 2030
Looking ahead the National Skills Commission predicts nursing growth of
26.5% for health and welfare services managers (including nursing clinical directors)
16.5% for nurse educators and researchers
23.1% for nurse managers
21.6% for midwives
13.9% for registered nurses (including nurse practitioners)
1.3 % for enrolled and mothercraft nurses
16% for university lectures and tutors
Teaching
Estimates of teacher shortages vary across Australia between State and Federal agencies.
Estimates of total trained teachers in Australia varies by 204,000
AITSIL calculates 515,000 trained teachers in Australia in 10,000 schools. ABS figures state 311,655 trained teachers in 9,629 schools.
The Federal Government estimates a current shortage of 4,000 trained teachers. State Governments are reporting higher shortages (NSW 1,700, Qld 6,510, Vic ) and teacher absenteeism averaging 27% on any school day.
"Yet, Australian schools are facing unprecedented teacher supply and retention challenges, with workforce shortages one of the single biggest issues facing teacher employers in all school sectors and early childhood education settings across Australia. This is not just a problem in Australia. The world at large is experiencing challenges associated with the competitive global teaching market." Federal Minister for Education - Hob Jason Clare MP - deflecting August 2022
NSWTF reports 1,700 current vacancies and estimates an extra 18,600 teachers are needed to meet population growth by 2036.
40% of teaching graduates are leaving the profession within 3 years of graduation.
35-50% of teachers would resign IF they could find a safe employment path.
Universities (in need of more funding) are predicting major shortages in 2025-2028.
There is a significant opportunity to establish iCapisce in the mind of every teacher trainee as a valuable learning tool to take into the classroom when they graduate.
"Latest" NCVER "in training" data for all Apprentices and Trainees.
N.B. training completions range from 18-25% of course enrolments.
The government is good at reporting students in traineeships but not completion rates.
Completion rates, on average, are less than 20% of course enrollments.
445,081 registered building companies in Australia (MBA 2022)
2,349 Building company bankruptcies in 2023-24 (News.com.au)
1.35m people employed in building and construction = 9.4% of all Australian jobs
Current housing demand ...
Australian shortfall = 1.3m in 2023 growing to 1.7m in 2025
NSW shortfall = 373,000 in 2023 growing to 678,000 in 2025
Victoria shortfall = 291,000 in 2023 growing to 462,000 in 2025
Immigration levels = 514,000 in 2023 falling to 450,000 2024 per year
Federal Government target of 1.3m homes over 5 years = 260,000/year = 17% of latent demand
Building apprenticeship numbers vary depending on the source.
MBA = apprenticeships are falling 3% to 120,881 with 21,814 graduates/year
NCVER Architecture and building students = 166,690 trainees (2022)
NCVER Architecture and building course completions = 35,135 (2022)
Australian Government reports falling trend in building apprenticeships since 2012 probably due to changes in incentive payments.
2012 = 492,000
2023 = 290,000
If you ask the builders it's because Gen Z and Gen Alpha are unreliable and don't want to work.
293,584 Registered Nurses in Australia (hwd.health.gov.au)
279,347 total equivalent full-time positions
Average 34.3 hours per week
Average turnover rate = 27.1% (2023)
6,500 nurses leaving the profession every year
Current Registered Nurse job demand (Seek June 2024)
Australia 13,435
New South Wales 3,525
Queensland 3,311
Tasmania 434
Victoria 3,493
Western Australia 1,184 positions vacant
Residential Aged Care is short 5,918 nurses
Health Workforce Australia (HWA) estimate there will be a shortage of over 100,000 nurses by 2025 and more than 123,000 nurses by 2030.
15,225 / 22056 graduate completions in 2019
17,769 / 26,626 graduate "completions"
69% completion rate
Student commencements in Midwifery are in decline 5%
Source = HWA.health.gov.au
293,584 Registered Nurses in Australia (hwd.health.gov.au)
279,347 total equivalent full-time positions
Average 34.3 hours per week
Average turnover rate = 27.1% (2023)
6,500 nurses leaving the profession every year
Current Registered Nurse job demand (Seek June 2024)
Australia 13,435
New South Wales 3,525
Queensland 3,311
Tasmania 434
Victoria 3,493
Western Australia 1,184 positions vacant
Residential Aged Care is short 5,918 nurses
17,769 graduate nurse "completions" every year.
Student commencements in Midwifery are in decline 5%
Outlay
$1.82m over three years for
4 curriculum leads and 16 content specialists
To generate
7,680 human services topics
440 building topics
960 marine & fisheries topics
And reach
120,000 building apprentices
239,000 farm workers
68,000 nursing trainees
64,000 teacher trainees
Return
Potential maximum of 490,000 Australian trainees per year
@ $20 p.p. p.a. = $9.8m /year
Target
1.45m Australian Tertiary Students by 2030
@ $20 p.p. p.a.
Detailed Establishment Budget - and link to spreadsheet
Australian Tertiary Education Targets - c/- Universities Australia